With a little less than four weeks before the first week of the 2022 NFL season, betting opportunities exist in the player prop market at SI Sportsbook.
By process of elimination, it’s pretty easy to cross off many players from the betting odds list. For example: Since 1991, every rushing leader had a floor of 1,327 yards (Kareem Hunt in 2017). Therefore, any thought of Lamar Jackson (+4500) leading the NFL in rushing yards is quickly dismissed. Any back in a split role with a focus on pass-catching value can be eliminated – Tony Pollard, Chase Edmonds, D’Andre Swift, Aaron Jones, Austin Ekeler, Alvin Kamara and Christian McCaffrey.
Michael Carter and Melvin Gordon are on the wrong side of a running back rotation on their teams. Ezekiel Elliott, Jones, and Damien Harris have talented players pressing for more snaps. The 49ers will start a rushing quarterback in Trey Lance and Deebo Samuel will surely snipe a significant portion of the rushing attempts, thus lowering the ceiling of Elijah Mitchell’s touches this upcoming season.
Over the past 31 years, the leading rusher averaged 345 carries for 1,723 rushing yards and 14 rushing touchdowns. A runner needs a high-volume opportunity to lead the NFL in rushing yards while still owning big-play ability.
Here are the five players that have the best chance of receiving more than 300 rushing attempts in 2022. For more insight on the upcoming outlook running back pool, check out the NFL player projections at Sports Illustrated.